Just how smart is Punxsutawney Phil?

February 5, 2013 at 8:15 am 4 comments


This past weekend, Punxsutawney Phil (the King of the Groundhogs, Seer of Seers, Prognosticator of Prognosticators, Weather Prophet without Peer) gave his 127th meteorological prediction.  Phil, the ageless groundhog, spends his early mornings on February 2nd either getting scared by the sight of his own shadow or enjoying a winter morning outside of his burrow.  Since the weather was so crazy leading up to Groundhog’s day, I thought I’d do some research and find out exactly how Punxsutawney Phil predicts the weather and get an idea of what the next couple months will look like.

Now if you’re like me, the rules and outcomes of Phil’s choices are a little fuzzy (pardon the pun).  So for clarification, if a groundhog emerges and sees his shadow, he will supposedly get scared by the sight and instantly retreat back into his home; when this happens, it means winter is going to continue for 6 more weeks.  On the other hand, if it’s cloudy and there is no shadow, the groundhog will stay out and this signifies an early spring.

This year, Phil stayed outside and let everyone know that an early spring is on its way.  When that may start is up for debate as these last few days have been rather frigid and it isn’t getting too much warmer in the next week, but keep a look out for that nice spring weather.

Punxsutawney Phil has quite a following, and his meteorological forecasts are often held if fairly high regard (as high as you can hold a groundhog anyway).  A little interesting fact though is that in his history, Punxsutawney Phil has been correct only 39% of the time when predicting the arrival of spring.  For anyone wondering, that’s actually a worse percentage than if he were to choose by random chance.  So while this year, Phil predicted an early spring, it might not be time to put away your skis and jackets just yet.

Here’s to hoping some nice weather is coming our way,


EnAct Intern Adam

image credit: www.mnn.com


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4 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Klaudia  |  May 29, 2013 at 2:22 am

    I almost never drop comments, but i did a few searching and
    wound up here Just how smart is Punxsutawney Phil? |.

    And I do have 2 questions for you if it’s allright. Is it only me or does it seem like a few of the remarks come across like they are coming from brain dead folks? 😛 And, if you are writing at other online sites, I’d
    like to keep up with anything fresh you have to post.
    Could you make a list of the complete urls of all
    your public sites like your twitter feed,
    Facebook page or linkedin profile?

  • 2. Last minute Lodge Reservation  |  June 10, 2013 at 8:03 pm

    Thanks for finally talking about >Just how smart is Punxsutawney
    Phil? | <Loved it!

  • 3. Major  |  June 18, 2013 at 11:22 am

    Do you mind if I quote a few of your articles as long as I provide credit and sources back to your site?

    My blog is in the exact same niche as yours and my visitors would really benefit from some
    of the information you present here. Please let me know if this okay
    with you. Thanks a lot!

  • 4. EnAct Team  |  June 18, 2013 at 11:26 am

    yes, as long as there is a link or credit that would be great!


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